โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
DET

Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers

May 5, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
BOS 87-75  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 10, DET 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 10 ยท DET 8
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.63 vs 4.17) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS DET SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 7.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS K edge vs DET lineup (10.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
Jovani Moran
Jovani Moran
ERA3.15
WHIP1.14
FIP4.17
K/910.1
K/BB5.5
vs
DET โ€” Home LHP
Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez
ERA4.03
WHIP1.36
FIP3.90
K/97.0
K/BB3.5
Home ERA: 4.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  6. 6 Andruw Monasterio DH
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Matt Vierling CF
  2. 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
  3. 3 Jahmai Jones DH
  4. 4 Dillon Dingler C
  5. 5 Riley Greene LF
  6. 6 Wenceel Perez RF
  7. 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  8. 8 Zach McKinstry 3B
  9. 9 Hao-Yu Lee 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.705 0.705
Bullpen FIP 3.55 4.74
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 +0.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -6.5 (-119)
DET +6.5 (-110)
Total (O/U)
Over 17.5 (+101)
Under 17.5 (-131)
Moneyline
BOS -10000
DET +1380

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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