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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
KC

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals

May 18, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Kauffman Stadium
BOS 87-75  ยท  KC 69-93

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 3, KC 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 4 ยท KC 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

KC Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.26 vs 3.69) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC SP home venue edge (ERA 4.37 H vs 6.64 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Road ERA: 2.35
vs
KC โ€” Home RHP
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
ERA5.17
WHIP1.47
FIP4.22
K/97.0
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 4.37

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jarren Duran CF
  2. 2 Mickey Gasper DH
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida LF
  6. 6 Andruw Monasterio SS
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Nick Sogard 3B
KC โ€” Home
  1. 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
  2. 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
  3. 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
  4. 4 Salvador Perez C
  5. 5 Carter Jensen DH
  6. 6 Jac Caglianone RF
  7. 7 Player #257485 LF
  8. 8 Michael Massey 2B
  9. 9 Kyle Isbel CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away KC Home
Team OPS 0.721 0.735
Bullpen FIP 3.55 5.44
Run Diff / 10G -0.9 -0.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (-1020)
KC +1.5 (+550)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+523)
Under 4.5 (-940)
Moneyline
BOS -10000
KC +1360

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
72 ยท OVER
KC โ€” Home

No data yet.

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