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BOS vs
LAA

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels

July 3, 2026 · 9:38 PM ET · Angel Stadium
BOS 66-58  ·  LAA 49-76

🏁 Final: BOS 5, LAA 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap →

🏆 SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner 🏆 Boston Red Sox
Confidence 62%
Projected Score BOS 5 · LAA 3
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine — not a guarantee.

📊 Engine Edges

LAA Home field ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS Record edge ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 2.85 vs 3.04) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS LAA SP elevated fatigue ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 8.1) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
LAA K edge vs BOS lineup (10.5 K/9) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS Recent run diff (+0.8 R/G L10) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
LAA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.58 H vs 4.72 A) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★

⚾ Starting Pitchers

BOS — Away LHP
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
ERA3.46
WHIP1.07
FIP3.19
K/96.8
K/BB4.9
Road ERA: 4.79
vs
LAA — Home LHP
Reid Detmers
Reid Detmers
ERA3.78
WHIP1.06
FIP3.21
K/910.5
K/BB7.8
Home ERA: 3.58

🧢 Starting Lineup

BOS — Away
  1. 1 Nate Eaton RF
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu DH
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Caleb Durbin 3B
  6. 6 Romy Gonzalez 2B
  7. 7 Jarren Duran LF
  8. 8 Andruw Monasterio SS
  9. 9 Carlos Narvaez C
LAA — Home
  1. 1 Zach Neto SS
  2. 2 Nolan Schanuel 1B
  3. 3 Denzer Guzman 3B
  4. 4 Jorge Soler DH
  5. 5 Vaughn Grissom 2B
  6. 6 Jo Adell RF
  7. 7 Jose Siri CF
  8. 8 Josh Lowe LF
  9. 9 Logan O'Hoppe C

📸 Team Snapshot

BOS Away LAA Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.675
Bullpen FIP 3.68 4.20
Run Diff / 10G +0.0 -0.8
Days Rest 1 0
Streak -1 -1

📈 Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -4.5 (-164)
LAA +4.5 (+125)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (-145)
Under 7.5 (+111)
Moneyline
BOS -10000
LAA +1400

🔍 Key Suspects Top 2 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS — Away
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
54 · OVER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Singles
0.5
50 · OVER
LAA — Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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