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MIN vs
NYY

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees

July 3, 2026 · 7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
MIN 60-65  ·  NYY 69-55

🏁 Final: MIN 2, NYY 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap →

🏆 SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner 🏆 New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 5 · MIN 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine — not a guarantee.

📊 Engine Edges

NYY Home field ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
NYY Key injuries MIN (Austin Martin, Joe Ryan) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 4.60 vs 5.32, PF 1.06) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
MIN NYY SP elevated fatigue ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
MIN Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 4.7) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
MIN Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★

⚾ Starting Pitchers

MIN — Away RHP
Mike Paredes
Mike Paredes
ERA4.72
WHIP1.43
FIP5.42
K/95.0
K/BB1.6
vs
NYY — Home RHP
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
ERA3.22
WHIP1.08
FIP3.29
K/99.6
K/BB7.6
Home ERA: 3.21

🧢 Starting Lineup

MIN — Away
  1. 1 Trevor Larnach LF
  2. 2 Brooks Lee 3B
  3. 3 Kody Clemens 2B
  4. 4 Josh Bell DH
  5. 5 Royce Lewis 1B
  6. 6 Victor Caratini C
  7. 7 Ryan Kreidler CF
  8. 8 Tristan Gray SS
  9. 9 Luke Keaschall RF
NYY — Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Jasson Dominguez RF
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  6. 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  7. 7 Ryan McMahon 3B
  8. 8 Jose Caballero SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C

📸 Team Snapshot

MIN Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.708 0.709
Bullpen FIP 4.27 3.58
Run Diff / 10G -0.6 -2.5
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -3 1

📈 Betting Lines

Spread
MIN +2.5 (+206)
NYY -2.5 (-282)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (-161)
Under 7.5 (+123)
Moneyline
MIN +1160
NYY -10000

🔍 Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIN — Away
Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 1B
Hits
1.5
76 · UNDER
Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 3B
Hits
1.5
65 · UNDER
Josh Bell Josh Bell DH
Hits
1.5
64 · UNDER
Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall RF
Hits
1.5
62 · UNDER
NYY — Home
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero SS
Hits
1.5
65 · UNDER
Austin Wells Austin Wells C
Hits
1.5
65 · UNDER
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Hits
1.5
64 · UNDER
Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 3B
Hits
1.5
59 · UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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