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TOR vs
SEA

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

July 3, 2026 · 10:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
TOR 61-65  ·  SEA 59-66

🏁 Final: TOR 2, SEA 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap →

🏆 SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner 🏆 Toronto Blue Jays
Confidence 66%
Projected Score TOR 2 · SEA 1
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine — not a guarantee.

📊 Engine Edges

SEA Home field ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
TOR Key injuries SEA (Taylor Ward, Bryan Woo) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
SEA Key injuries TOR (Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Trey Yesavage, Jameson Taillon) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
TOR SP quality edge (FIP 2.36 vs 3.98, PF 0.94) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
TOR SEA SP fatigued ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
SEA TOR SP fatigued ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
SEA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
TOR Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
TOR K edge vs SEA lineup (13.2 K/9) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
TOR SP road mastery (ERA 1.89 R vs 3.13 H) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
SEA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★

⚾ Starting Pitchers

TOR — Away RHP
Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
ERA2.42
WHIP1.06
FIP2.31
K/913.2
K/BB9.3
Road ERA: 1.89
vs
SEA — Home RHP
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
ERA4.96
WHIP1.35
FIP4.23
K/98.2
K/BB5.4

🧢 Starting Lineup

TOR — Away
  1. 1 Nathan Lukes RF
  2. 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  4. 4 Daulton Varsho CF
  5. 5 Alejandro Kirk C
  6. 6 Yohendrick Pinango LF
  7. 7 Ernie Clement 2B
  8. 8 Sean Keys DH
  9. 9 Andres Gimenez SS
SEA — Home
  1. 1 J.P. Crawford 3B
  2. 2 Randy Arozarena LF
  3. 3 Dominic Canzone DH
  4. 4 Cal Raleigh C
  5. 5 Josh Naylor 1B
  6. 6 Luke Raley RF
  7. 7 Cole Young 2B
  8. 8 Victor Robles CF
  9. 9 Colt Emerson SS

📸 Team Snapshot

TOR Away SEA Home
Team OPS 0.695 0.694
Bullpen FIP 5.31 4.63
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 -0.1
Days Rest 1 0
Streak -1 2

📈 Betting Lines

Spread
TOR -1.5 (-1200)
SEA +1.5 (+600)
Total (O/U)
Over 2.5 (+552)
Under 2.5 (-1020)
Moneyline
TOR -10000
SEA +1240

🔍 Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TOR — Away
Alejandro Kirk Alejandro Kirk C
Singles
0.5
76 · OVER
Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez SS
Singles
0.5
59 · OVER
Dylan Cease Dylan Cease SP
Outs
17.5
56 · OVER
Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes RF
Singles
0.5
54 · OVER
SEA — Home
Victor Robles Victor Robles CF
Singles
0.5
57 · OVER
Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone DH
Singles
0.5
51 · OVER
Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 1B
Singles
0.5
51 · OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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