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CHW vs
CLE

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians

July 3, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
CHW 65-58  ·  CLE 60-65

🏁 Final: CHW 3, CLE 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap →

🏆 SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner 🏆 Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 54%
Projected Score CLE 5 · CHW 3
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine — not a guarantee.

📊 Engine Edges

CLE Home field ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CHW Key injuries CLE (Chase DeLauter) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CLE Key injuries CHW (Davis Martin) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CHW SP quality edge (FIP 4.01 vs 4.32, PF 0.95) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CHW CLE SP elevated fatigue ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CLE CHW SP elevated fatigue ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CHW Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CLE K edge vs CHW lineup (11.5 K/9) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CHW Recent run diff (+2.8 R/G L10) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CLE CHW SP home dependent ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CLE Line move (34pp sharp) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★

⚾ Starting Pitchers

CHW — Away LHP
Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
ERA4.01
WHIP1.34
FIP4.29
K/97.3
K/BB4.0
Road ERA: 5.08
vs
CLE — Home RHP
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
ERA3.74
WHIP1.08
FIP3.55
K/911.5
K/BB8.8
Home ERA: 3.36

🧢 Starting Lineup

CHW — Away
  1. 1 Sam Antonacci LF
  2. 2 Miguel Vargas 3B
  3. 3 Kyle Teel C
  4. 4 Andrew Benintendi DH
  5. 5 Colson Montgomery SS
  6. 6 Braden Montgomery RF
  7. 7 Chase Meidroth 2B
  8. 8 Tristan Peters CF
  9. 9 Jacob Gonzalez 1B
CLE — Home
  1. 1 Travis Bazzana 2B
  2. 2 David Fry LF
  3. 3 Chase DeLauter RF
  4. 4 Rhys Hoskins 1B
  5. 5 Kyle Manzardo DH
  6. 6 Brayan Rocchio SS
  7. 7 Gabriel Arias 3B
  8. 8 Austin Hedges C
  9. 9 Steven Kwan CF

📸 Team Snapshot

CHW Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.730 0.696
Bullpen FIP 3.91 3.95
Run Diff / 10G +2.8 +0.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 3 -1

📈 Betting Lines

Spread
CHW -1.5 (+1100)
CLE +1.5 (-5000)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+473)
Under 7.5 (-810)
Moneyline
CHW +690
CLE -1500

🔍 Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CHW — Away
Miguel Vargas Miguel Vargas 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
71 · OVER
Chase Meidroth Chase Meidroth 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
69 · OVER
Andrew Benintendi Andrew Benintendi DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 · UNDER
Colson Montgomery Colson Montgomery SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
67 · OVER
CLE — Home
Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 · UNDER
Steven Kwan Steven Kwan CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 · OVER
Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 · UNDER
Austin Hedges Austin Hedges C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 · UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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