โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CIN vs
NYY

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees

June 21, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
CIN 75-87  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: CIN 4, NYY 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 61%
Projected Score NYY 4 ยท CIN 2
Blowout Probability 7%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN SP quality edge (FIP 2.85 vs 4.32, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 7.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN K edge vs NYY lineup (10.8 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+1.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY CIN SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CIN โ€” Away RHP
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
ERA2.86
WHIP1.17
FIP3.22
K/910.8
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.56
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Elmer Rodriguez
Elmer Rodriguez
ERA5.40
WHIP1.57
FIP4.32
K/97.2
K/BB1.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Blake Dunn CF
  2. 2 JJ Bleday LF
  3. 3 Sal Stewart 1B
  4. 4 Nathaniel Lowe DH
  5. 5 Spencer Steer 2B
  6. 6 Eugenio Suarez 3B
  7. 7 Noelvi Marte RF
  8. 8 Tyler Stephenson C
  9. 9 Edwin Arroyo SS
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ben Rice 1B
  2. 2 Jasson Dominguez RF
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger DH
  4. 4 Spencer Jones CF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Jose Caballero LF
  7. 7 Ryan McMahon 3B
  8. 8 Austin Wells C
  9. 9 Anthony Volpe SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CIN Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.700 0.703
Bullpen FIP 5.25 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +0.6 +1.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CIN -2.5 (-342)
NYY +2.5 (+245)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+239)
Under 5.5 (-334)
Moneyline
CIN -8100
NYY +1200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 3 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CIN โ€” Away
Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 3B
RBIs
1.5
59 ยท UNDER
Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 1B
Singles
0.5
59 ยท OVER
Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe DH
RBIs
1.5
52 ยท UNDER
NYY โ€” Home
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Singles
0.5
57 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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