โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CLE vs
TB

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays

July 25, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
CLE 73-71  ยท  TB 85-58

๐Ÿ Final: CLE 0, TB 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 55%
Projected Score TB 3 ยท CLE 1
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries TB (Shane McClanahan) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries CLE (Chase DeLauter) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 4.35 vs 4.55, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE TB SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB CLE SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE TB SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CLE โ€” Away RHP
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
ERA4.06
WHIP1.18
FIP4.47
K/97.2
K/BB4.4
Road ERA: 4.07
vs
TB โ€” Home RHP
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
ERA3.04
WHIP1.10
FIP3.91
K/95.3
K/BB4.0
Home ERA: 4.00

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CLE โ€” Away
  1. 1 Steven Kwan LF
  2. 2 Jose Ramirez 3B
  3. 3 Travis Bazzana DH
  4. 4 Brayan Rocchio SS
  5. 5 Angel Martinez RF
  6. 6 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  7. 7 Gabriel Arias 2B
  8. 8 Patrick Bailey C
  9. 9 Petey Halpin CF
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Cedric Mullins CF
  5. 5 Chandler Simpson LF
  6. 6 Victor Mesa Jr. RF
  7. 7 Richie Palacios 2B
  8. 8 Ben Williamson SS
  9. 9 Hunter Feduccia C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CLE Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.668 0.730
Bullpen FIP 3.76 4.36
Run Diff / 10G -0.6 +0.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CLE +2.5 (+234)
TB -2.5 (-325)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (-102)
Under 3.5 (-127)
Moneyline
CLE +1400
TB -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CLE โ€” Away
Steven Kwan Steven Kwan LF
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Gabriel Arias Gabriel Arias 2B
Singles
0.5
57 ยท OVER
Tanner Bibee Tanner Bibee SP
Outs
17.5
56 ยท OVER
TB โ€” Home
Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson LF
Singles
0.5
86 ยท OVER
Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz DH
Singles
0.5
79 ยท OVER
Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
62 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace โ†’ Back to MLB