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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
PIT

Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

May 12, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท PNC Park
COL 58-104  ยท  PIT 82-80

๐Ÿ Final: COL 1, PIT 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PIT 4 ยท COL 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PIT Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 2.69 vs 4.79) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL PIT SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Defensive edge (dWAR 4.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT K edge vs COL lineup (10.3 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Recent run diff (+4.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RHP
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
ERA7.21
WHIP1.89
FIP5.31
K/96.4
K/BB2.5
vs
PIT โ€” Home RHP
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
ERA3.82
WHIP1.12
FIP3.14
K/910.3
K/BB7.8
Home ERA: 3.86

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Edouard Julien 2B
  2. 2 Mickey Moniak CF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman C
  4. 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
  5. 5 Tyler Freeman RF
  6. 6 Troy Johnston DH
  7. 7 Willi Castro 3B
  8. 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  9. 9 Jake McCarthy LF
PIT โ€” Home
  1. 1 Oneil Cruz CF
  2. 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  4. 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
  5. 5 Nick Gonzales 3B
  6. 6 Marcell Ozuna DH
  7. 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
  8. 8 Konnor Griffin SS
  9. 9 Henry Davis C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away PIT Home
Team OPS 0.733 0.736
Bullpen FIP 5.45 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -3.0 +1.4
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL +3.5 (-131)
PIT -3.5 (+101)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (-108)
Under 4.5 (-120)
Moneyline
COL +1560
PIT -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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