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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
MIN

Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins

May 12, 2026 ยท 7:40 PM ET ยท Target Field
MIA 80-82  ยท  MIN 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 0, MIN 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Minnesota Twins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIN 3 ยท MIA 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIN Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.91 vs 4.44) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA MIN SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN MIA SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 2.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+0.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN SP home venue edge (ERA 3.83 H vs 5.95 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Eury Perez
Eury Perez
ERA3.91
WHIP1.21
FIP3.88
K/99.6
K/BB5.8
Road ERA: 4.95
vs
MIN โ€” Home RHP
Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
ERA4.47
WHIP1.30
FIP4.57
K/96.6
K/BB4.1
Home ERA: 3.83

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Xavier Edwards 2B
  2. 2 Liam Hicks 1B
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers RF
  5. 5 Connor Norby 3B
  6. 6 Jakob Marsee CF
  7. 7 Christopher Morel DH
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Heriberto Hernandez LF
MIN โ€” Home
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Trevor Larnach LF
  3. 3 Ryan Jeffers C
  4. 4 Josh Bell DH
  5. 5 Austin Martin RF
  6. 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
  7. 7 Kody Clemens 1B
  8. 8 Brooks Lee SS
  9. 9 Royce Lewis 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away MIN Home
Team OPS 0.716 0.751
Bullpen FIP 3.97 4.18
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 -1.1
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA +2.5 (+233)
MIN -2.5 (-323)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+232)
Under 3.5 (-322)
Moneyline
MIA +1380
MIN -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIA โ€” Away
Eury Perez Eury Perez SP
Outs
15.5
51 ยท UNDER
MIN โ€” Home

No data yet.

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