โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
STL

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals

June 26, 2026 ยท 8:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIA 80-82  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 4, STL 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 57%
Projected Score STL 2 ยท MIA 1
Blowout Probability 4%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 2.75 vs 3.55) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA STL SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Max Meyer
Max Meyer
ERA2.68
WHIP1.14
FIP3.32
K/99.8
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.91
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Dustin May
Dustin May
ERA4.70
WHIP1.32
FIP3.40
K/98.9
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 5.12

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Griffin Conine RF
  3. 3 Xavier Edwards 2B
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers 1B
  5. 5 Otto Lopez SS
  6. 6 Owen Caissie DH
  7. 7 Joe Mack C
  8. 8 Esteury Ruiz LF
  9. 9 Graham Pauley 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar LF
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Blaze Jordan 3B
  9. 9 Jose Fermin DH

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.730 0.708
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.5 -1.4
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA -2.5 (+263)
STL +2.5 (-381)
Total (O/U)
Over 2.5 (+107)
Under 2.5 (-140)
Moneyline
MIA -3400
STL +970

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIA โ€” Away
Otto Lopez Otto Lopez SS
Hits
1.5
78 ยท UNDER
Griffin Conine Griffin Conine RF
Hits
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 2B
Hits
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 1B
Hits
1.5
73 ยท UNDER
STL โ€” Home
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 1B
Hits
1.5
63 ยท UNDER
JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 2B
Hits
1.5
57 ยท UNDER
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera C
Hits
1.5
55 ยท UNDER
Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar LF
Hits
1.5
52 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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