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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
STL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

May 4, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIL 103-59  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 3, STL 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score STL 6 ยท MIL 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 3.65 vs 4.60) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
ERA3.40
WHIP1.24
FIP4.02
K/97.9
K/BB3.9
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
ERA3.66
WHIP1.34
FIP3.49
K/98.5
K/BB5.9
Home ERA: 3.44

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Garrett Mitchell CF
  2. 2 Jackson Chourio LF
  3. 3 Brice Turang 2B
  4. 4 William Contreras C
  5. 5 Jake Bauers 1B
  6. 6 Andrew Vaughn DH
  7. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  8. 8 Luis Rengifo 3B
  9. 9 David Hamilton SS
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.754 0.669
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +2.1 +1.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL +2.5 (+239)
STL -2.5 (-333)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+238)
Under 9.5 (-332)
Moneyline
MIL +1360
STL -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away

No data yet.

STL โ€” Home
Kyle Leahy Kyle Leahy SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
52 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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