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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
STL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

July 9, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIL 103-59  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 8, STL 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 60%
Projected Score MIL 7 ยท STL 5
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 2.84 vs 3.15) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL MIL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 5.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Logan Henderson
Logan Henderson
ERA2.47
WHIP0.84
FIP3.29
K/910.1
K/BB8.3
Road ERA: 3.03
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
ERA3.83
WHIP1.27
FIP3.63
K/96.1
K/BB3.3
Home ERA: 4.51

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Garrett Mitchell CF
  2. 2 Jackson Chourio LF
  3. 3 Brice Turang 2B
  4. 4 William Contreras C
  5. 5 Jake Bauers DH
  6. 6 Andrew Vaughn 1B
  7. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  8. 8 Cooper Pratt SS
  9. 9 Joey Ortiz 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker DH
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar RF
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Bryan Torres LF
  8. 8 Jose Fermin 3B
  9. 9 Nathan Church CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.772 0.706
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 +1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -2.5 (-288)
STL +2.5 (+210)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-122)
Under 11.5 (-106)
Moneyline
MIL -3300
STL +970

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio LF
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 3B
Singles
0.5
65 ยท OVER
William Contreras William Contreras C
RBIs
0.5
63 ยท OVER
Brice Turang Brice Turang 2B
RBIs
0.5
60 ยท OVER
STL โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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