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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
WSH

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

May 3, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
MIL 103-59  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 2, WSH 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score WSH 4 ยท MIL 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP quality edge (FIP 3.10 vs 4.90) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH MIL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+2.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH MIL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Logan Henderson
Logan Henderson
ERA2.47
WHIP0.84
FIP3.29
K/910.1
K/BB8.3
Road ERA: 3.03
vs
WSH โ€” Home LHP
PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin
ERA2.70
WHIP1.31
FIP4.90
K/96.2
K/BB1.0

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Luis Rengifo 3B
  2. 1 Brice Turang 2B
  3. 2 William Contreras C
  4. 3 Gary Sanchez DH
  5. 4 Jake Bauers 1B
  6. 5 Garrett Mitchell CF
  7. 6 Brandon Lockridge LF
  8. 7 Sal Frelick RF
  9. 8 David Hamilton 2B
  10. 9 Joey Ortiz SS
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Jacob Young CF
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Daylen Lile LF
  6. 6 Nasim Nunez 2B
  7. 7 Jose Tena DH
  8. 8 Jorbit Vivas 3B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.729 0.734
Bullpen FIP 3.68 5.88
Run Diff / 10G +1.9 -0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 5 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -1.5 (+1100)
WSH +1.5 (-5400)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+568)
Under 5.5 (-1080)
Moneyline
MIL +990
WSH -3600

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Logan Henderson Logan Henderson SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
62 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home

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All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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