โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
ARI

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

May 9, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Chase Field
NYM 74-88  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 1, ARI 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ARI 3 ยท NYM 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.49 vs 6.69) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 7.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+2.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
Clay Holmes
Clay Holmes
ERA3.29
WHIP1.19
FIP3.57
K/96.9
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 7.41
vs
ARI โ€” Home RHP
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
ERA4.94
WHIP1.46
FIP5.25
K/96.3
K/BB2.4
Home ERA: 6.21

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Juan Soto LF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 MJ Melendez DH
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Carson Benge RF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  8. 8 Francisco Alvarez C
  9. 9 Tyrone Taylor CF
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
  6. 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
  7. 7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  8. 8 Gabriel Moreno C
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.715
Bullpen FIP 4.39 3.95
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 -2.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (+1380)
ARI +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+850)
Under 3.5 (-2300)
Moneyline
NYM +1300
ARI -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away
Clay Holmes Clay Holmes SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
56 ยท OVER
ARI โ€” Home

No data yet.

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