โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
MIA

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

May 22, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
NYM 74-88  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 1, MIA 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIA 3 ยท NYM 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.97 vs 4.71) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM MIA SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 3.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+3.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.10 H vs 4.95 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Road ERA: 4.32
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Eury Perez
Eury Perez
ERA3.91
WHIP1.21
FIP3.88
K/99.6
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 3.10

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto DH
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Brett Baty 3B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 A.J. Ewing CF
  8. 8 Nick Morabito LF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Xavier Edwards 2B
  2. 2 Liam Hicks 1B
  3. 3 Connor Norby 3B
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers DH
  5. 5 Jakob Marsee CF
  6. 6 Esteury Ruiz LF
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.695 0.736
Bullpen FIP 4.39 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +1.8 -1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (+1280)
MIA +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+434)
Under 3.5 (-710)
Moneyline
NYM +720
MIA -1640

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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