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MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
BAL

Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles

May 22, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
DET 76-86  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: DET 4, BAL 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BAL 7 ยท DET 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP quality edge (FIP 4.24 vs 4.59) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs BAL lineup (10.5 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.76 H vs 5.73 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away RHP
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty
ERA4.48
WHIP1.39
FIP3.82
K/910.5
K/BB6.2
Road ERA: 4.75
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Chris Bassitt
Chris Bassitt
ERA4.59
WHIP1.55
FIP4.04
K/96.5
K/BB3.2
Home ERA: 3.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Dillon Dingler C
  3. 3 Jahmai Jones DH
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  6. 6 Wenceel Perez CF
  7. 7 Zach McKinstry RF
  8. 8 Gage Workman 3B
  9. 9 Hao-Yu Lee 2B
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser RF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Jackson Holliday 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.704 0.714
Bullpen FIP 4.74 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -2.7 -1.7
Days Rest 0 1
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET +2.5 (+169)
BAL -2.5 (-225)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-151)
Under 11.5 (+116)
Moneyline
DET +1020
BAL -4000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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