โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
NYY

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

May 22, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
TB 98-64  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: TB 4, NYY 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 5 ยท NYY 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.87 vs 3.03, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 3.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+2.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP road mastery (ERA 2.44 R vs 3.98 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
ERA3.10
WHIP1.09
FIP3.91
K/95.5
K/BB4.2
Road ERA: 2.44
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Home ERA: 3.92

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Chandler Simpson LF
  2. 2 Junior Caminero 3B
  3. 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  4. 4 Yandy Diaz DH
  5. 5 Richie Palacios 2B
  6. 6 Jonny DeLuca RF
  7. 7 Cedric Mullins CF
  8. 8 Nick Fortes C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Ben Rice DH
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  6. 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  7. 7 Jose Caballero SS
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Austin Wells C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.724 0.737
Bullpen FIP 4.55 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +2.3 -0.6
Days Rest 1 0
Streak -1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -1.5 (-557)
NYY +1.5 (+363)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+336)
Under 6.5 (-505)
Moneyline
TB -2600
NYY +890

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TB โ€” Away
Nick Martinez Nick Martinez SP
Outs
15.5
56 ยท OVER
NYY โ€” Home
Gerrit Cole Gerrit Cole SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
63 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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