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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
ARI

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

May 22, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท Chase Field
COL 58-104  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: COL 3, ARI 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Colorado Rockies
Confidence 71%
Projected Score COL 4 ยท ARI 2
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP quality edge (FIP 2.97 vs 5.38) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI COL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 8.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+4.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP home venue edge (ERA 2.69 H vs 4.23 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RHP
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
ERA5.37
WHIP1.31
FIP5.34
K/95.6
K/BB3.5
Road ERA: 5.79
vs
ARI โ€” Home RHP
Michael Soroka
Michael Soroka
ERA3.41
WHIP1.09
FIP3.01
K/98.8
K/BB6.6
Home ERA: 2.69

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jake McCarthy CF
  2. 2 Hunter Goodman C
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Tyler Freeman RF
  5. 5 Troy Johnston LF
  6. 6 Willi Castro 2B
  7. 7 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  8. 8 Sterlin Thompson DH
  9. 9 Chad Stevens 3B
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
  6. 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  7. 7 Gabriel Moreno C
  8. 8 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.681 0.715
Bullpen FIP 5.45 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -2.0 +2.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL -1.5 (+1400)
ARI +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+840)
Under 5.5 (-2300)
Moneyline
COL -4700
ARI +1080

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

COL โ€” Away
Tomoyuki Sugano Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Pitcher Ks
2.5
66 ยท OVER
ARI โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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