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MLB Matchup Intelligence

CLE vs
PHI

Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies

May 22, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
CLE 85-77  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: CLE 1, PHI 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CLE 2 ยท PHI 0
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.37 vs 3.46) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE PHI SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 6.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE K edge vs PHI lineup (12.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+1.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP home venue edge (ERA 2.33 H vs 3.94 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CLE โ€” Away RHP
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
ERA3.76
WHIP1.11
FIP3.38
K/912.1
K/BB9.1
Road ERA: 5.13
vs
PHI โ€” Home LHP
Cristopher Sanchez
Cristopher Sanchez
ERA2.91
WHIP1.20
FIP2.71
K/910.0
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 2.33

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CLE โ€” Away
  1. 1 Angel Martinez RF
  2. 2 Jose Ramirez 3B
  3. 3 Rhys Hoskins 1B
  4. 4 David Fry DH
  5. 5 Travis Bazzana 2B
  6. 6 Brayan Rocchio SS
  7. 7 Steven Kwan LF
  8. 8 Austin Hedges C
  9. 9 Petey Halpin CF
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh LF
  6. 6 Adolis Garcia RF
  7. 7 Bryson Stott 2B
  8. 8 J.T. Realmuto C
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CLE Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.697 0.713
Bullpen FIP 3.99 4.07
Run Diff / 10G +2.7 +1.4
Days Rest 0 1
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CLE -1.5 (+1000)
PHI +1.5 (-3800)
Total (O/U)
Over 1.5 (+442)
Under 1.5 (-770)
Moneyline
CLE -2100
PHI +840

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CLE โ€” Away
Gavin Williams Gavin Williams SP
Pitcher Ks
6.5
57 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home

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See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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