โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
PHI

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

June 21, 2026 ยท 7:20 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 2, PHI 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 64%
Projected Score PHI 5 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 9%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.66 vs 3.80) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM PHI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 5.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI K edge vs NYM lineup (10.7 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+2.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP road mastery (ERA 2.60 R vs 5.45 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away LHP
David Peterson
David Peterson
ERA4.79
WHIP1.50
FIP3.88
K/98.3
K/BB4.4
Road ERA: 2.60
vs
PHI โ€” Home RHP
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler
ERA3.00
WHIP1.05
FIP3.27
K/910.7
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 2.97

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Jared Young 1B
  5. 5 A.J. Ewing CF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  8. 8 Francisco Alvarez DH
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Edmundo Sosa LF
  6. 6 Brandon Marsh RF
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Derek Hill CF
  9. 9 Bryson Stott 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.734
Bullpen FIP 4.39 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -1.5 +0.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM +3.5 (+154)
PHI -3.5 (-204)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-168)
Under 8.5 (+128)
Moneyline
NYM +1440
PHI -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 3 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Singles
0.5
62 ยท OVER
Juan Soto Juan Soto LF
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
David Peterson David Peterson SP
Outs
14.5
52 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Singles
0.5
62 ยท OVER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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