โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
PHI

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

July 19, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 6, PHI 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 68%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท PHI 4
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 2.83 vs 4.37) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 7.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+1.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
ERA3.16
WHIP1.17
FIP3.34
K/99.7
K/BB6.2
Road ERA: 3.03
vs
PHI โ€” Home RHP
Alan Rangel
Alan Rangel
ERA5.88
WHIP1.69
FIP4.37
K/910.0
K/BB5.5

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 A.J. Ewing CF
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 Bo Bichette 3B
  4. 4 Francisco Lindor SS
  5. 5 Carson Benge LF
  6. 6 Jared Young 1B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Brett Baty RF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Gabriel Rincones Jr. RF
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.730 0.701
Bullpen FIP 4.39 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 -1.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -4.5 (+100)
PHI +4.5 (-130)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-107)
Under 9.5 (-121)
Moneyline
NYM -2600
PHI +890

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away
Carson Benge Carson Benge LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
78 ยท OVER
Juan Soto Juan Soto DH
Singles
0.5
72 ยท OVER
A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing CF
Singles
0.5
71 ยท OVER
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 3B
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Singles
0.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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