MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks β Recap
July 19, 2026 Β· Chase Field (NH) Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks, entering the contest with a 55-51 record against the St. Louis Cardinals' 53-52, lived up to their favored status, but not without a dramatic comeback that saw them erase a significant deficit. The game initially belonged to the visiting Cardinals, who exploded for five runs in the top of the third inning, completely turning the tide after a scoreless start. Blaze Jordan ignited the rally with a triple that scored Nootbaar, and Jordan himself later crossed the plate on a Wetherholt single. The onslaught continued with Walker doubling in Wetherholt, followed by Burleson's single bringing home both Herrera and Walker, establishing a commanding 5-0 lead for St. Louis.
Jordan continued to be a thorn in the Diamondbacks' side in the fifth inning, delivering a single to right that scored both Burleson and FermΓn, extending the Cardinals' surprising advantage to 7-0. His performance, which included three hits and three RBIs, was the top batting effort of the game. Cardinals pitcher Andre Pallante also contributed a solid outing, throwing 5.1 innings and striking out three, though he ultimately surrendered three earned runs as the Diamondbacks began their slow climb back.
Undeterred by the seven-run hole, the Diamondbacks mounted a spirited rally, chipping away at the lead in the bottom of the sixth. Marte singled to center to score Del Castillo, marking Arizona's first run. Consecutive walks to Moreno and Locklear then brought home Waldschmidt and Marte, respectively, narrowing the gap to 7-3. The comeback gained significant momentum in the seventh when Perdomo delighted the home crowd with a 242-foot inside-the-park home run to left field, which also scored Del Castillo, bringing Arizona within two runs.
The stage for extra-innings drama was set in the bottom of the eighth, as Arenado launched a 384-foot home run to left-center, scoring Locklear and drawing the game even at 7-7. After a tense scoreless ninth inning, the game moved to extras, where the Diamondbacks completed their improbable comeback. In the bottom of the tenth, Kepler delivered the final blow with a double to right, scoring Barrosa and securing an exhilarating 8-7 walk-off victory for Arizona, validating their pregame implied probability and marking a memorable win at home.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120, 52% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 8β7.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the St. Louis Cardinals scored 5 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante |
|
5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4.02 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez |
|
2.2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.62 |
| Drey Jameson |
|
2.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4.67 |
| Philip Abner |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6.75 |
| Juan Morillo W |
|
1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.95 |
| Taylor Clarke |
|
1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.45 |
| Luis Gastelum L |
|
1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7.20 |
| George Soriano |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3.40 |
| Gordon Graceffo |
|
1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3.17 |
| Ryan Thompson |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.78 |
| Ryne Stanek |
|
0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4.82 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaze Jordan |
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivan Herrera |
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Kepler |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Del Castillo |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jose Fermin |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Geraldo Perdomo |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nolan Arenado |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ketel Marte |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyler Locklear |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Corbin Carroll |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
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