โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
ARI

St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

July 19, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Chase Field (NH)
STL 77-85  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: STL 7, ARI 8 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 53%
Projected Score STL 9 ยท ARI 7
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.25 vs 4.04) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL ARI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 4.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+2.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL ARI SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Line move (16pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
ERA3.83
WHIP1.27
FIP3.63
K/96.1
K/BB3.3
Road ERA: 3.22
vs
ARI โ€” Home LHP
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
ERA2.89
WHIP1.24
FIP3.88
K/96.8
K/BB3.9
Home ERA: 3.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Jordan Walker DH
  4. 4 Nelson Velazquez LF
  5. 5 Alec Burleson 1B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Jose Fermin CF
  8. 8 Lars Nootbaar RF
  9. 9 Blaze Jordan 3B
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  4. 4 Gabriel Moreno C
  5. 5 Max Kepler LF
  6. 6 Tyler Locklear 1B
  7. 7 Nolan Arenado 3B
  8. 8 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.732
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -0.8 +1.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -1.5 (+491)
ARI +1.5 (-850)
Total (O/U)
Over 15.5 (+128)
Under 15.5 (-168)
Moneyline
STL +193
ARI -261

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

STL โ€” Away
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท OVER
Jose Fermin Jose Fermin CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 ยท OVER
Jordan Walker Jordan Walker DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
67 ยท UNDER
ARI โ€” Home
Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท OVER
Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 ยท OVER
Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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