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MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
BAL

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

May 12, 2026 ยท 6:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
NYY 93-68  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 6, BAL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 66%
Projected Score NYY 5 ยท BAL 4
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.33 vs 3.47) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+4.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.63 H vs 4.46 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA3.92
WHIP1.36
FIP3.86
K/99.1
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 4.49
vs
BAL โ€” Home LHP
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.03
WHIP1.19
FIP3.40
K/98.4
K/BB6.3
Home ERA: 3.63

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Ben Rice DH
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Amed Rosario 2B
  6. 6 Trent Grisham CF
  7. 7 Ryan McMahon 3B
  8. 8 Max Schuemann SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward LF
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Tyler O'Neill RF
  7. 7 Dylan Beavers CF
  8. 7 Colton Cowser CF
  9. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  10. 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.738 0.712
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.94
Run Diff / 10G +2.0 -2.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (+105)
BAL +1.5 (-126)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.0 (+100)
Under 9.0 (-121)
Moneyline
NYY -173
BAL +142

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away

No data yet.

BAL โ€” Home
Trevor Rogers Trevor Rogers SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
60 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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