โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

June 9, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 3, CLE 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 53%
Projected Score CLE 4 ยท NYY 2
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP quality edge (FIP 3.44 vs 3.56, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+3.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP home venue edge (ERA 4.35 H vs 5.52 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Line move (33pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.50
vs
CLE โ€” Home RHP
ERA4.91
WHIP1.43
FIP4.47
K/97.4
K/BB4.5
Home ERA: 4.35

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.723
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.99
Run Diff / 10G +1.6 -1.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (+1320)
CLE +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+521)
Under 5.5 (-930)
Moneyline
NYY -1400
CLE +660

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Gerrit Cole Gerrit Cole SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
63 ยท OVER
CLE โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.