โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
NYM

New York Yankees vs New York Mets

May 17, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท Citi Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 6, NYM 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 8 ยท NYY 6
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.79 vs 4.32) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+2.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 1.76 H vs 4.32 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Elmer Rodriguez
Elmer Rodriguez
ERA5.40
WHIP1.57
FIP4.32
K/97.2
K/BB1.7
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
ERA4.42
WHIP1.32
FIP4.14
K/98.3
K/BB5.0
Home ERA: 1.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice 1B
  3. 3 Aaron Judge DH
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Ryan McMahon 3B
  7. 7 Spencer Jones RF
  8. 8 Anthony Volpe SS
  9. 9 J.C. Escarra C
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto DH
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 MJ Melendez LF
  6. 6 Brett Baty 3B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Player #4873604 CF
  9. 9 Hayden Senger C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.715
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -1.0 +1.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (+780)
NYM +1.5 (-1900)
Total (O/U)
Over 13.5 (+344)
Under 13.5 (-520)
Moneyline
NYY +454
NYM -760

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away

No data yet.

NYM โ€” Home
Freddy Peralta Freddy Peralta SP
Outs
15.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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