โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
WSH

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

July 10, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 5, WSH 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 59%
Projected Score NYY 5 ยท WSH 4
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.56 vs 4.88) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+2.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Line move (29pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away LHP
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
ERA3.60
WHIP1.22
FIP3.55
K/99.4
K/BB6.9
Road ERA: 3.21
vs
WSH โ€” Home LHP
Carson Palmquist
Carson Palmquist
ERA7.71
WHIP1.78
FIP3.53
K/98.4
K/BB3.9

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Amed Rosario 3B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Trent Grisham CF
  4. 4 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  5. 5 Cody Bellinger LF
  6. 6 Jasson Dominguez RF
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Jose Caballero SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Curtis Mead 3B
  3. 3 Dylan Crews LF
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Jacob Young CF
  6. 6 Andres Chaparro DH
  7. 7 Nasim Nunez 2B
  8. 8 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.716 0.774
Bullpen FIP 4.52 5.88
Run Diff / 10G -1.6 +1.0
Days Rest 0 1
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (-384)
WSH +1.5 (+269)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+249)
Under 8.5 (-350)
Moneyline
NYY -1620
WSH +720

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Singles
0.5
75 ยท OVER
Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero SS
Singles
0.5
67 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home
CJ Abrams CJ Abrams SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
62 ยท OVER
James Wood James Wood RF
Singles
0.5
62 ยท OVER
Dylan Crews Dylan Crews LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
58 ยท OVER
Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
57 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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