โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
DET

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers

July 10, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
PHI 88-74  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 2, DET 10 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Detroit Tigers
Confidence 70%
Projected Score DET 6 ยท PHI 3
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 2.71 vs 5.42) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Defensive edge (dWAR 5.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs PHI lineup (10.5 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Recent run diff (+3.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 3.95 R vs 5.72 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Line move (33pp sharp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
ERA4.67
WHIP1.35
FIP4.84
K/99.1
K/BB6.1
Road ERA: 3.95
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty
ERA4.48
WHIP1.39
FIP3.82
K/910.5
K/BB6.2
Home ERA: 5.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 Gabriel Rincones Jr. RF
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 8 Derek Hill CF
  10. 9 Rafael Marchan C
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Colt Keith 3B
  3. 3 Riley Greene LF
  4. 4 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  5. 5 Kerry Carpenter RF
  6. 6 Eduardo Valencia DH
  7. 7 Zach McKinstry 2B
  8. 8 James Outman CF
  9. 9 Jake Rogers C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.673 0.728
Bullpen FIP 4.07 4.74
Run Diff / 10G -1.1 +2.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +2.5 (-109)
DET -2.5 (-119)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-161)
Under 8.5 (+123)
Moneyline
PHI +583
DET -980

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Hits
1.5
73 ยท UNDER
Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 2B
Hits
1.5
71 ยท UNDER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Hits
1.5
67 ยท UNDER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Hits
1.5
63 ยท UNDER
DET โ€” Home
Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 1B
Hits
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
James Outman James Outman CF
Hits
1.5
50 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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