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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
SEA

Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners

August 25, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท T-Mobile Park
PHI 79-60  ยท  SEA 65-74

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 1, SEA 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 65%
Projected Score PHI 4 ยท SEA 2
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

SEA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries SEA (Emerson Hancock, Brendan Donovan) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 4.67 vs 5.05, PF 0.94) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SEA SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA PHI SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Defensive edge (dWAR 3.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+5.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.29 H vs 5.58 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
ERA4.93
WHIP1.40
FIP4.82
K/99.5
K/BB6.4
Road ERA: 4.38
vs
SEA โ€” Home RHP
George Kirby
George Kirby
ERA4.19
WHIP1.35
FIP3.75
K/97.6
K/BB5.4
Home ERA: 3.29

๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ Ballpark Weather

Wind7 mph (light)
Directionblowing out to center
Temp76ยฐF
Run Env: HIGH โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜† Neutral
Humidity 55% Gusts 14 mph Cloud 0% Rain Chance 2% Pressure 1013 hPa

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kyle Schwarber DH
  2. 2 Trea Turner SS
  3. 3 Bryce Harper RF
  4. 4 Luis Arraez 2B
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 1B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 3B
  7. 7 Brandon Marsh LF
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 9 Garrett Stubbs C
SEA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Randy Arozarena LF
  2. 2 Dominic Canzone RF
  3. 3 Julio Rodriguez CF
  4. 4 Josh Naylor 1B
  5. 5 Cal Raleigh C
  6. 6 Cole Young 2B
  7. 7 Taylor Ward DH
  8. 8 J.P. Crawford 3B
  9. 9 Brock Rodden SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away SEA Home
Team OPS 0.715 0.690
Bullpen FIP 4.03 4.66
Run Diff / 10G +2.7 -2.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +2.5 (+418)
SEA -2.5 (-680)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+417)
Under 5.5 (-670)
Moneyline
PHI +2200
SEA -9800

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper RF
Singles
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 2B
Singles
0.5
70 ยท OVER
Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber DH
Hits
1.5
69 ยท UNDER
SEA โ€” Home
Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone RF
Hits
1.5
87 ยท UNDER
Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 1B
Hits
1.5
86 ยท UNDER
Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena LF
Hits
1.5
84 ยท UNDER
Julio Rodriguez Julio Rodriguez CF
Hits
1.5
82 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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