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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
WSH

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

June 22, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
PHI 88-74  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 1, WSH 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 61%
Projected Score PHI 4 ยท WSH 2
Blowout Probability 7%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 3.35 vs 3.94) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Defensive edge (dWAR 6.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP home venue edge (ERA 4.68 H vs 5.97 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away LHP
Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
ERA3.48
WHIP1.13
FIP3.35
K/98.6
K/BB6.2
vs
WSH โ€” Home LHP
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
ERA3.60
WHIP1.21
FIP3.79
K/98.3
K/BB5.9
Home ERA: 4.68

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Edmundo Sosa LF
  6. 6 Brandon Marsh RF
  7. 7 Derek Hill CF
  8. 8 Bryson Stott 2B
  9. 9 Rafael Marchan C
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Curtis Mead 3B
  3. 3 Dylan Crews LF
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Jacob Young CF
  6. 6 Daylen Lile DH
  7. 7 Keibert Ruiz C
  8. 8 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  9. 9 Nasim Nunez 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.699 0.755
Bullpen FIP 4.07 5.88
Run Diff / 10G +1.3 +0.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI +2.5 (+220)
WSH -2.5 (-303)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+220)
Under 5.5 (-302)
Moneyline
PHI +1380
WSH -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Derek Hill Derek Hill CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท UNDER
Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท UNDER
WSH โ€” Home
CJ Abrams CJ Abrams SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท UNDER
Luis Garcia Jr. Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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