โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PIT vs
SF

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants

May 9, 2026 ยท 9:05 PM ET ยท Oracle Park
PIT 82-80  ยท  SF 65-97

๐Ÿ Final: PIT 13, SF 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Pittsburgh Pirates
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PIT 6 ยท SF 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

SF Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Key injuries SF (Bryce Eldridge) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SF Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SF SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SF Catcher arm edge (CS% 21pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Recent run diff (+2.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PIT โ€” Away RHP
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA3.65
WHIP1.09
FIP3.37
K/99.4
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.72
vs
SF โ€” Home RHP
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp
ERA4.01
WHIP1.30
FIP3.63
K/98.3
K/BB3.9
Home ERA: 3.83

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PIT โ€” Away
  1. 1 Oneil Cruz CF
  2. 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  4. 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
  5. 5 Nick Gonzales 3B
  6. 6 Marcell Ozuna DH
  7. 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
  8. 8 Konnor Griffin SS
  9. 9 Joey Bart C
SF โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jung Hoo Lee RF
  2. 2 Luis Arraez 2B
  3. 3 Heliot Ramos LF
  4. 4 Rafael Devers 1B
  5. 5 Bryce Eldridge DH
  6. 6 Willy Adames SS
  7. 7 Matt Chapman 3B
  8. 8 Drew Gilbert CF
  9. 9 Eric Haase C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PIT Away SF Home
Team OPS 0.745 0.736
Bullpen FIP 3.99 4.22
Run Diff / 10G +0.0 -2.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -5

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PIT -4.5 (-149)
SF +4.5 (+114)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+111)
Under 9.5 (-145)
Moneyline
PIT -10000
SF +1420

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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