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MLB Matchup Intelligence

SD vs
BAL

San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles

June 13, 2026 ยท 4:05 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
SD 91-71  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: SD 9, BAL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† San Diego Padres
Confidence 58%
Projected Score SD 7 ยท BAL 5
Blowout Probability 5%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD SP quality edge (FIP 5.20 vs 5.80) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+2.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SD โ€” Away RHP
Randy Vasquez
Randy Vasquez
ERA3.90
WHIP1.26
FIP4.13
K/95.6
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 3.59
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Trey Gibson
Trey Gibson
ERA6.13
WHIP1.71
FIP5.60
K/98.5
K/BB2.3

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SD โ€” Away
  1. 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B
  2. 2 Jackson Merrill CF
  3. 3 Manny Machado 3B
  4. 4 Xander Bogaerts SS
  5. 5 Gavin Sheets 1B
  6. 6 Samad Taylor LF
  7. 7 Will Wagner DH
  8. 8 Jase Bowen RF
  9. 9 Freddy Fermin C
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward DH
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Pete Alonso 1B
  4. 4 Samuel Basallo C
  5. 5 Leody Taveras CF
  6. 6 Colton Cowser LF
  7. 7 Tyler O'Neill RF
  8. 8 Jackson Holliday 2B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SD Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.689 0.708
Bullpen FIP 3.44 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -1.3 +1.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SD -4.5 (+158)
BAL +4.5 (-210)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-122)
Under 11.5 (-106)
Moneyline
SD -10000
BAL +1340

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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