โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
CLE

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians

June 26, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
SEA 76-86  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 3, CLE 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 68%
Projected Score CLE 3 ยท SEA 2
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP quality edge (FIP 4.42 vs 4.73, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 5.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+2.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
ERA5.85
WHIP1.49
FIP4.89
K/97.7
K/BB4.7
vs
CLE โ€” Home LHP
Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
ERA3.62
WHIP1.42
FIP3.87
K/99.7
K/BB5.1
Home ERA: 3.90

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Randy Arozarena LF
  2. 2 Julio Rodriguez CF
  3. 3 Cal Raleigh C
  4. 4 Dominic Canzone DH
  5. 5 Josh Naylor 1B
  6. 6 J.P. Crawford 3B
  7. 7 Rob Refsnyder RF
  8. 8 Cole Young 2B
  9. 9 Colt Emerson SS
CLE โ€” Home
  1. 1 Travis Bazzana 2B
  2. 2 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  3. 3 Brayan Rocchio SS
  4. 4 Kahlil Watson RF
  5. 5 Player #4812715 DH
  6. 5 Cooper Ingle DH
  7. 6 Daniel Schneemann 3B
  8. 7 Steven Kwan LF
  9. 8 Patrick Bailey C
  10. 9 Petey Halpin CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.683 0.660
Bullpen FIP 4.56 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -2.5 -0.3
Days Rest 0 1
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -1.5 (-1340)
CLE +1.5 (+650)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+620)
Under 4.5 (-1260)
Moneyline
SEA -10000
CLE +1480

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SEA โ€” Away
Julio Rodriguez Julio Rodriguez CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 ยท OVER
Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท OVER
J.P. Crawford J.P. Crawford 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท OVER
Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
CLE โ€” Home
Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey C
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Petey Halpin Petey Halpin CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
77 ยท OVER
Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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