โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
ARI

St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

July 18, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Chase Field (NH)
STL 77-85  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: STL 3, ARI 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 54%
Projected Score STL 5 ยท ARI 4
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.07 vs 4.10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL ARI SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 2.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+2.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP road mastery (ERA 3.87 R vs 5.12 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Dustin May
Dustin May
ERA4.70
WHIP1.32
FIP3.40
K/98.9
K/BB5.8
Road ERA: 3.87
vs
ARI โ€” Home RHP
Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
ERA3.77
WHIP1.18
FIP3.76
K/96.2
K/BB4.1
Home ERA: 3.85

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Lars Nootbaar LF
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Jose Fermin 3B
  9. 9 Pedro Pages C
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  4. 4 Gabriel Moreno DH
  5. 5 Max Kepler LF
  6. 6 Nolan Arenado 3B
  7. 7 Tim Tawa 1B
  8. 8 James McCann C
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.700 0.743
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -0.8 +1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL +1.5 (+338)
ARI -1.5 (-509)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+332)
Under 8.5 (-497)
Moneyline
STL +950
ARI -3100

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

STL โ€” Away
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
79 ยท OVER
Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Jose Fermin Jose Fermin 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
71 ยท OVER
Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
70 ยท OVER
ARI โ€” Home
Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
74 ยท OVER
Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
72 ยท OVER
Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
72 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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