โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
BOS

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

May 7, 2026 ยท 7:00 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
TB 98-64  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: TB 8, BOS 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 7 ยท BOS 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 3.27 vs 3.43, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.93
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
ERA3.65
WHIP1.10
FIP3.43
K/97.2
K/BB5.6
Home ERA: 4.35

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Ryan Vilade LF
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca RF
  6. 6 Ben Williamson 2B
  7. 7 Nick Fortes C
  8. 8 Cedric Mullins CF
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Caleb Durbin 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.707
Bullpen FIP 4.55 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.8 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -2.5 (-106)
BOS +2.5 (-122)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+150)
Under 11.5 (-199)
Moneyline
TB -5900
BOS +1140

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TB โ€” Away
Griffin Jax Griffin Jax SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
57 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home

No data yet.

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