โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
BOS

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

July 17, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
TB 98-64  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: TB 0, BOS 10 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 67%
Projected Score BOS 4 ยท TB 3
Blowout Probability 11%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 2.97 vs 3.90, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away RHP
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
ERA3.53
WHIP1.18
FIP3.71
K/99.3
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 2.93
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
ERA3.65
WHIP1.10
FIP3.43
K/97.2
K/BB5.6
Home ERA: 4.35

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Ryan Vilade RF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca CF
  6. 6 Chandler Simpson LF
  7. 7 Ben Williamson 2B
  8. 8 Taylor Walls SS
  9. 9 Nick Fortes C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Anthony Seigler 2B
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Caleb Durbin 3B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Romy Gonzalez 1B
  7. 7 Jarren Duran LF
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Tsung-Che Cheng SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.728 0.673
Bullpen FIP 4.55 3.55
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 +2.6
Days Rest 4 4
Streak -1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB +4.5 (-156)
BOS -4.5 (+119)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (-104)
Under 6.5 (-125)
Moneyline
TB +1360
BOS -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TB โ€” Away
Jonny DeLuca Jonny DeLuca CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท OVER
Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
BOS โ€” Home
Tsung-Che Cheng Tsung-Che Cheng SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
69 ยท UNDER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 ยท UNDER
Romy Gonzalez Romy Gonzalez 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
68 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB