โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TB vs
TOR

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

May 12, 2026 ยท 7:07 PM ET ยท Rogers Centre
TB 98-64  ยท  TOR 79-83

๐Ÿ Final: TB 7, TOR 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 8 ยท TOR 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TOR Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 2.61 vs 3.78) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 3.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+1.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TB โ€” Away LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Road ERA: 4.36
vs
TOR โ€” Home LHP
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
ERA5.51
WHIP1.54
FIP4.41
K/97.1
K/BB4.3
Home ERA: 6.92

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TB โ€” Away
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Ryan Vilade LF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca RF
  6. 6 Ben Williamson 2B
  7. 7 Cedric Mullins CF
  8. 8 Nick Fortes C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS
TOR โ€” Home
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Myles Straw RF
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  5. 5 Lenyn Sosa 2B
  6. 6 Ernie Clement SS
  7. 7 Daulton Varsho CF
  8. 8 Davis Schneider LF
  9. 9 Brandon Valenzuela C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TB Away TOR Home
Team OPS 0.722 0.657
Bullpen FIP 4.55 4.49
Run Diff / 10G +2.4 +0.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TB -1.5 (-231)
TOR +1.5 (+188)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (+181)
Under 12.5 (-244)
Moneyline
TB -2900
TOR +920

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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