โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TEX vs
NYY

Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees

May 7, 2026 ยท 12:35 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
TEX 80-82  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: TEX 2, NYY 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 6 ยท TEX 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries TEX (Josh Jung, Corey Seager) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TEX SP quality edge (FIP 3.96 vs 4.83, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY TEX SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TEX โ€” Away LHP
MacKenzie Gore
MacKenzie Gore
ERA4.58
WHIP1.33
FIP3.75
K/99.1
K/BB5.4
Road ERA: 6.08
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
ERA1.69
WHIP1.09
FIP3.71
K/97.3
K/BB3.8

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TEX โ€” Away
  1. 1 Brandon Nimmo DH
  2. 2 Ezequiel Duran LF
  3. 3 Corey Seager SS
  4. 4 Josh Jung 3B
  5. 5 Joc Pederson RF
  6. 6 Jake Burger 1B
  7. 7 Evan Carter CF
  8. 8 Danny Jansen C
  9. 9 Justin Foscue 2B
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Aaron Judge DH
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger RF
  4. 4 Amed Rosario 3B
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Jasson Dominguez LF
  7. 7 Trent Grisham CF
  8. 8 Max Schuemann SS
  9. 9 J.C. Escarra C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TEX Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.741 0.705
Bullpen FIP 5.56 4.52
Run Diff / 10G -0.7 +2.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TEX +3.5 (-131)
NYY -3.5 (+100)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-116)
Under 9.5 (-112)
Moneyline
TEX +1040
NYY -4300

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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