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MLB Matchup Intelligence

WSH vs
NYM

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

April 29, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
WSH 77-85  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: WSH 14, NYM 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score WSH 9 ยท NYM 7
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP quality edge (FIP 2.57 vs 3.62) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Defensive edge (dWAR 3.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH K edge vs NYM lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH NYM SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

WSH โ€” Away RHP
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
ERA3.02
WHIP1.16
FIP2.97
K/910.6
K/BB8.1
Road ERA: 2.82
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
David Peterson
David Peterson
ERA4.79
WHIP1.50
FIP3.88
K/98.3
K/BB4.4
Home ERA: 5.45

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

WSH โ€” Away
  1. 1 James Wood DH
  2. 2 Curtis Mead 1B
  3. 3 Brady House 3B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Jacob Young CF
  6. 6 Daylen Lile LF
  7. 7 Joey Wiemer RF
  8. 8 Nasim Nunez 2B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Bo Bichette 3B
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 MJ Melendez LF
  4. 4 Francisco Alvarez C
  5. 5 Brett Baty 1B
  6. 6 Tyrone Taylor CF
  7. 7 Carson Benge RF
  8. 8 Marcus Semien 2B
  9. 9 Ronny Mauricio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

WSH Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.769 0.732
Bullpen FIP 5.88 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -0.8 -0.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
WSH -5.5 (-132)
NYM +5.5 (+102)
Total (O/U)
Over 15.5 (+101)
Under 15.5 (-131)
Moneyline
WSH -4000
NYM +1020

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

WSH โ€” Away
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
66 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home

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