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MLB Final Intelligence

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals — Recap

August 28, 2026  · Nationals Park  · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Washington Nationals delivered a decisive 9-2 upset victory over the Miami Marlins, overcoming pregame expectations and a strong lean from proprietary models that favored Miami. A pivotal five-run outburst in the third inning, combined with a dominant pitching performance from starter Jackson Kent, propelled the Nationals to a comfortable win.

Miami initially drew first blood in the second inning when Edwards singled to right, bringing Sanoja home to give the Marlins a brief 1-0 lead. The Nationals swiftly countered in the bottom of the third, first tying the game on a wild pitch by Pérez that scored Chaparro, then taking the lead as Young crossed the plate on a throwing error by catcher Mack. Washington then broke the game open when Brady House launched a 445-foot, three-run homer to left center, extending their advantage to 5-1. They continued to pile on in the seventh with a solo shot from Ford, followed by Crews’ two-run double and Lile’s RBI triple. Miami managed only one more run in the eighth on a solo homer from Hernández.

Washington’s five-run third inning proved to be the game's turning point, a sequence that saw them capitalize on both Miami's defensive miscues and their own power hitting. That early offensive explosion was then expertly protected by Jackson Kent, who stifled the Marlins' bats over seven innings, allowing just one earned run while striking out three. His ability to quiet the favored Miami lineup after the initial surge ensured the Nationals maintained control throughout the contest, never relinquishing the lead after the third.

The Nationals' combination of timely hitting, particularly in their breakout third inning, and strong starting pitching ultimately sealed the win against a Miami team that was heavily favored to prevail. Their commanding performance saw them improve to 64-73 on the season, while the Marlins dropped to 68-67.

#MLB #WashingtonNationals #MiamiMarlins #BradyHouse #JacksonKent

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Miami Marlins (-136, 55% implied) over the Washington Nationals. Final: the Washington Nationals won 9–2, pulling off the upset.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Miami Marlins (71% confidence). Final: the Washington Nationals won 9–2, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Brady House
At the Plate
4 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
On the Mound
7.0 IP, 3 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
MIA 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 51
WSH 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 0 9 70

Turning Point

The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the Washington Nationals scored 5 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Jackson Kent W 7.0 3 1 1 4 3 5.59
Patrick Monteverde 4.0 5 4 4 1 2 9.00
Eury Perez L 3.0 2 5 5 4 5 3.44
Max Kranick 2.0 2 1 1 1 1 5.94
Tyler Zuber 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 3.68

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Abimelec Ortiz 4 2 0 0 1 0 2
Brady House 4 1 1 3 1 0 2
Heriberto Hernandez 3 1 1 1 1 1 0
Harry Ford 4 1 1 1 1 0 0
Dylan Crews 4 1 0 2 1 0 1
Xavier Edwards 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
Daylen Lile 3 1 0 1 1 1 1
Javier Sanoja 3 1 0 0 1 1 0
Kyle Stowers 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
Otto Lopez 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Jorbit Vivas 4 1 0 0 0 0 0

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