โ† MLB

MLB Final Intelligence

MIL 87-53
3 โ€“ 4
FINAL
SD 73-67

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres โ€” Recap

August 12, 2026  ยท Petco Park  ยท View Preview

๐Ÿ“ฐGame Recap

The San Diego Padres staged a dramatic late-inning rally, culminating in a walk-off victory in the 11th inning to defeat the favored Milwaukee Brewers. They twice erased one-run deficits in the eighth and 11th innings, denying Milwaukee's strong pitching effort and securing the upset.

Milwaukee initially took the lead when Gary Sanchez launched a solo home run to left in the second inning. An unearned run followed in the third, as Brice Turang's single led to a fielding error by center fielder Merrill, allowing Joey Ortiz to score. San Diego responded quickly in the bottom of the third, as Xander Bogaerts connected for a solo shot, cutting the Brewers' lead to one.

The game remained a tight, low-scoring affair until the bottom of the eighth, when San Diego drew even. Fernando Tatis Jr. scored on an infield single by Jake Cronenworth, knotting the score at 2-2 and negating a strong performance from Brewers starter Dustin May, who allowed only one run over seven innings. The contest then went to extra innings, where the Brewers momentarily regained the lead in the top of the 11th on another Gary Sanchez RBI double. However, the Padres refused to yield, scoring twice in the bottom half of the frame; Merrill's sacrifice fly brought in the tying run, and Luis Campusano delivered the decisive blow with a single to right, plating Mason Song for the walk-off win.

San Diego's resilience and timely hitting ultimately proved the difference, as they repeatedly answered Milwaukee's challenges to secure a hard-fought victory. The Padres improved their record to 65-57, while the Brewers fell to 74-47.

#MLB #Padres #Brewers #GarySanchez #DustinMay

How the Prediction Fared

โšก Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Milwaukee Brewers (-125, 53% implied) over the San Diego Padres. Final: the San Diego Padres won 4โ€“3, pulling off the upset.

โšก Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the Milwaukee Brewers (66% confidence). Final: the San Diego Padres won 4โ€“3, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Gary Sanchez
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Dustin May
On the Mound
7.0 IP, 6 K, 1 ER

Linescore

1234567891011 RHE
MIL 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 51
SD 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 4 72

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Dustin May 7.0 4 1 1 2 6 4.13
Robbie Ray 4.0 2 2 2 3 4 3.28
Adrian Morejon W 2.0 2 1 0 2 4 2.76
Bradgley Rodriguez 2.0 1 0 0 1 3 2.13
Trevor Megill 1.2 0 0 0 1 0 2.49
Jeremiah Estrada 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 3.29
Kyle Hart 1.0 0 0 0 2 2 4.10
Mason Miller 1.0 0 0 0 2 1 0.88
Aaron Ashby 0.2 2 0 0 0 1 3.53
Antonio Senzatela L 0.2 1 2 1 0 0 3.90
Chad Patrick 0.2 0 1 1 2 0 3.40

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Gary Sanchez 4 2 1 2 1 1 2
Ty France 4 2 0 0 0 0 1
Xander Bogaerts 4 1 1 1 1 0 0
Brice Turang 5 1 0 1 0 1 3
Jackson Merrill 4 1 0 1 0 0 1
Jake Cronenworth 4 1 0 1 1 1 2
Luis Campusano 2 1 0 1 0 0 0
Jake Bauers 4 1 0 0 0 1 0
Joey Ortiz 3 1 0 0 1 2 1
Luis Rengifo 4 1 0 0 0 1 0

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