MLB Final Intelligence
Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks โ Recap
August 12, 2026 ยท Chase Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Colorado Rockies, unfavored entering the contest, built an early lead with a pair of home runs and held on through a late rally by the Arizona Diamondbacks. Arizona, expected to win by pregame models, chipped away at the deficit in the later innings but ultimately fell short as Colorado secured an upset victory.
Arizona initially took the lead in the bottom of the first when Marte singled home Carroll. However, Colorado quickly responded in the top of the second. Castro's single tied the game, and then Brett Sullivan launched a 402-foot, three-run home run to right field, putting the Rockies up 4-1. Two innings later, Veen extended Colorado's advantage with a 407-foot, two-run homer to right center, making it 6-1. The Diamondbacks began their comeback attempt in the fifth when Moreno doubled to score Perdomo. A walk to Vargas in the seventh allowed Marte to cross the plate, further narrowing the gap, and Carroll's solo home run in the eighth brought Arizona within two runs.
The decisive blow came in the second inning when the Rockies erupted for four runs, fueled by Brett Sullivan's three-run shot. This offensive surge gave them a lead they would not relinquish. Despite Arizona's consistent efforts to chip away, scoring in the first, fifth, seventh, and eighth innings, they never managed to tie or overtake Colorado. While Ryan Feltner's performance for Colorado, allowing just two earned runs over five innings, provided a crucial foundation, it was the early power display that truly separated the two clubs and put the Diamondbacks in a hole they couldn't escape. The favored Diamondbacks, whose starting pitching was expected to hold an edge, simply couldn't overcome the early deficit created by Colorado's bats.
Colorado's ability to capitalize on early offensive opportunities, particularly with their power hitting, proved to be the difference against a favored opponent. They established a comfortable cushion that, even with Arizona's persistent late-game scoring, was enough to seal the win. The Rockies now stand at 48-73, while the Diamondbacks fall to 64-58.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (-178, 61% implied) over the Colorado Rockies. Final: the Colorado Rockies won 6โ4, pulling off the upset.
SportsFBI's model favored the Arizona Diamondbacks (72% confidence). Final: the Colorado Rockies won 6โ4, missing the call.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 2nd inning, when the Colorado Rockies scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly L |
|
5.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5.11 |
| Ryan Feltner W |
|
5.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5.59 |
| Gerardo Carrillo |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.71 |
| Brandyn Garcia |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.12 |
| Philip Abner |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.08 |
| Brennan Bernardino |
|
1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.72 |
| Jimmy Herget |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.35 |
| Jordan Romano S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.95 |
| Parker Mushinski |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.08 |
| Juan Mejia |
|
0.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5.44 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabriel Moreno |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ketel Marte |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Willi Castro |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Geraldo Perdomo |
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Kepler |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brett Sullivan |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Zac Veen |
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tyler Locklear |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole Carrigg |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ezequiel Tovar |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mickey Moniak |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| TJ Rumfield |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
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