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MLB Final Intelligence

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves — Recap

July 5, 2026  · Truist Park  · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The New York Mets held on for a narrow 10-9 victory over the Atlanta Braves, surviving a furious ninth-inning rally from the home team that nearly erased a seven-run deficit. The Mets, who entered the game as underdogs, built a substantial lead before Atlanta came within one run in the final frame.

New York opened the scoring in the first inning when Bichette singled home Lindor. However, Atlanta quickly responded with three runs in the bottom half, including a two-run single from Harris II and an RBI single by Dubón. The Mets then roared back in the second, plating four runs to reclaim the lead at 5-3. Ewing initiated the outburst with a solo home run, followed by Lindor’s RBI single and Soto’s two-run single.

The game remained a tight 5-3 affair until the top of the ninth, when the Mets exploded for five runs to extend their lead to 10-3. Taylor launched a solo home run, then Bichette hit a two-run double, and Young followed with a two-run single. However, the Braves refused to surrender in the bottom of the ninth. Dubón scored the first run of the rally, largely on errors by pitcher Brazobán, before Drake Baldwin belted a grand slam, bringing Atlanta within two runs. Harris II then singled in Olson, making it a one-run game before New York finally closed it out.

The New York Mets ultimately prevailed by building a significant lead, one just large enough to withstand a valiant six-run comeback attempt from the Braves. Their offensive production throughout the game, particularly in the critical ninth, was sufficient to claim the upset victory. The Mets improve to 48-66, while the Braves now stand at 67-46.

#MLB #Mets #Braves #DrakeBaldwin

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Atlanta Braves (-122, 53% implied) over the New York Mets. Final: the New York Mets won 10–9, pulling off the upset.

Player of the Game

Drake Baldwin
At the Plate
4 AB, 2 H, 1 HR, 4 RBI
Nolan McLean
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 5 K, 2 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
NYM 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 123
ATL 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 121

Turning Point

The game turned in the 9th inning, when the Atlanta Braves scored 6 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Nolan McLean W 6.0 5 3 2 1 5 3.73
Danny Young 1.0 1 0 0 0 2 0.00
Dylan Dodd 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2.25
Brooks Raley 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 2.25
Luke Weaver 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 1.95
Tyler Kinley 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 3.73
Devin Williams S 0.2 3 1 1 0 2 4.34
Huascar Brazoban 0.1 4 5 5 1 1 3.00

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Bo Bichette 5 3 0 3 1 0 0
Mauricio Dubon 5 3 0 1 1 0 0
Drake Baldwin 4 2 1 4 2 0 0
Michael Harris II 5 2 0 3 1 0 2
Juan Soto 4 2 0 2 1 1 0
Austin Riley 4 2 0 0 1 0 1
Brett Baty 4 2 0 0 2 0 1
Tyrone Taylor 4 1 1 1 1 0 1
Jared Young 2 1 0 2 0 0 0
Francisco Lindor 4 1 0 1 3 1 0
Dominic Smith 5 1 0 0 1 0 2
Matt Olson 5 1 0 0 1 0 2
Ozzie Albies 5 1 0 0 1 0 2

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