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MLB Final Intelligence

PIT 82-80
11 – 5
FINAL
WSH 77-85

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals β€” Recap

July 5, 2026  Β· Nationals Park  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates, holding a 55-52 record coming into play, delivered an impressive upset victory over the 54-53 Washington Nationals, prevailing 11-5 in a contest where the Nationals were favored to win. Pittsburgh wasted no time in asserting themselves, establishing an early lead in the second inning when Callihan singled to plate O'Hearn and Gonzales. Mangum followed with another single, bringing Callihan home to make it 3-0. The Pirates extended their advantage in the third, as Reynolds launched a 399-foot solo homer, pushing the score to 4-0.

However, the Nationals steadily chipped away at the deficit, demonstrating the resilience expected of the favored team. GarcΓ­a Jr. got Washington on the board in the bottom of the third with a two-run homer, scoring Ruiz. Vivas’s grounded out to first in the fourth inning allowed Crews to cross the plate, narrowing the gap to a single run. The comeback culminated in the fifth inning when Abrams hit a sacrifice fly to shortstop, bringing Wood home and knotting the score at 4-4.

The game's turning point arrived dramatically in the eighth inning, as the Pirates exploded for five runs to break the tie. Griffin's single to right field initially scored Davis and Triolo, giving Pittsburgh a 6-4 lead. The big blow came immediately after, with Brandon Lowe crushing a 396-foot, three-run homer to right field, scoring Mangum and Griffin, and extending the Pirates' lead to a commanding 9-4. Lowe finished the day with three RBI on his sole hit, proving to be the offensive catalyst. Though Crews responded with a solo homer for Washington in the bottom of the eighth, it was too little, too late.

Pittsburgh put the final touches on their upset win in the ninth inning, adding two more runs on Davis's single to left, which scored O'Hearn and Gonzales, bringing the score to 11-5. While the offense delivered, Gregory Soto also provided a crucial two innings of relief for the Pirates, striking out two and allowing just one earned run to help close out the game. The underdog Pirates ultimately secured a significant road victory, improving their record and dealing a setback to the favored Nationals.

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Washington Nationals (-126, 53% implied) over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Final: the Pittsburgh Pirates won 11–5, pulling off the upset.

Player of the Game

Brandon Lowe
At the Plate
5 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Gregory Soto
On the Mound
2.0 IP, 2 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
PIT 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 11 130
WSH 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 5 101

Turning Point

The game turned in the 8th inning, when the Pittsburgh Pirates scored 5 runs.

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Bubba Chandler 4.0 6 4 4 4 0 4.82
Cade Cavalli 2.1 6 4 3 2 3 3.88
Gregory Soto W 2.0 1 1 1 1 2 4.26
Justin Lawrence 1.2 2 2 2 1 2 7.76
Brad Lord L 1.1 4 5 5 1 0 3.88
Dennis Santana 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 4.82
Isaac Mattson 1.0 2 0 0 0 1 4.50
Mason Montgomery 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 4.37
Orlando Ribalta 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 3.42
PJ Poulin 0.2 1 0 0 1 0 2.83

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Nick Gonzales 4 3 0 0 2 1 0
Luis Garcia Jr. 5 2 1 2 1 0 0
Konnor Griffin 4 2 0 2 1 1 1
Curtis Mead 4 2 0 0 0 1 0
Jose Tena 3 2 0 0 0 1 0
Keibert Ruiz 3 2 0 0 1 0 0
Brandon Lowe 5 1 1 3 1 0 1
Bryan Reynolds 5 1 1 1 1 0 1
Dylan Crews 3 1 1 1 2 1 0
Henry Davis 1 1 0 2 1 0 0
Tyler Callihan 2 1 0 2 1 0 1
Jake Mangum 4 1 0 1 1 1 2
CJ Abrams 4 1 0 1 0 0 0
Endy Rodriguez 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Jared Triolo 3 1 0 0 1 0 0
Ryan O'Hearn 2 1 0 0 2 3 0

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