MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs β Recap
July 5, 2026 Β· Wrigley Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Chicago Cubs, entering the contest with a 60-46 record and favored over the 53-53 St. Louis Cardinals, lived up to expectations in a hard-fought 6-4 victory. The Cubs set the tone early in the bottom of the first inning. Following Crow-Armstrong's presence on base, Bregman doubled to center, driving him home for the game's first run. Bregman then came around to score himself on a sacrifice fly to right by Hoerner, giving Chicago an early 2-0 lead.
The game remained tight until the top of the sixth inning when the Cardinals mounted a powerful comeback. With Wetherholt and Burleson on base, St. Louis's Jordan Walker launched a towering 409-foot home run to left center, clearing the bases and giving the Cardinals a sudden 3-2 advantage. Walker's solo hit accounted for three crucial RBIs and marked a significant shift in momentum, highlighting his exceptional performance as the game's top batter with four total RBIs.
However, the Cubs responded emphatically in the bottom of the sixth, turning the tide with a pivotal four-run inning that proved to be the game's turning point. The rally began with Hoerner singling to right, scoring Kelly and knotting the game at 3-3. The Cubs then capitalized on defensive miscues; Swanson grounded into a fielder's choice that scored Busch, and an error by third baseman FermΓn allowed Hoerner to advance to third. Ramirez then delivered a sacrifice fly to right, which not only scored Hoerner but also saw Swanson score on a throwing error by right fielder Walker, pushing Chicago's lead to 6-3. Throughout this early stretch, Javier Assad provided solid work on the mound for the Cubs, pitching 4.2 innings without allowing an earned run and striking out two.
St. Louis attempted to narrow the gap in the eighth inning when Jordan Walker again came through with a sacrifice fly to center, scoring Wetherholt and bringing the Cardinals within two runs at 6-4. Despite Walker's impressive individual outing, which included a home run and four RBIs, the earlier offensive outburst and defensive struggles in the sixth inning proved too much for the Cardinals to overcome. The Cubs ultimately held on to secure the win as the pregame favorite, improving their record while handing St. Louis a tough divisional loss.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-149, 57% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the Chicago Cubs won 6β4.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 6th inning, when the Chicago Cubs scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore L |
|
5.0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5.34 |
| Javier Assad |
|
4.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4.15 |
| Jacob Webb S |
|
2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.29 |
| Matt Svanson |
|
1.2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.69 |
| Ryan Fernandez |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.35 |
| Drew Pomeranz W |
|
1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.97 |
| Ryan Rolison |
|
0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.43 |
| Tyler Ferguson |
|
0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.48 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nico Hoerner |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Alex Bregman |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Carson Kelly |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Dansby Swanson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Busch |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Masyn Winn |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Church |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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