MLB Final Intelligence
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians โ Recap
July 5, 2026 ยท Progressive Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The Chicago White Sox, entering the contest with a 57-51 record against the favored 56-54 Cleveland Guardians, pulled off a 7-6 upset victory in a back-and-forth affair that saw multiple lead changes. The game exploded offensively from the outset, with Chicago drawing first blood in the top of the first when Teel launched a 378-foot homer to left, scoring Vargas and putting the White Sox up 2-0. Cleveland quickly responded in the bottom half, as DeLauter crushed a 425-foot shot to right center, bringing Bazzana home to tie the game at 2-2. The Guardians then took the lead when Schneemann singled to center, allowing Manzardo to score and pushing the score to 3-2.
The early seesaw battle continued into the second inning, with the White Sox evening the score once more as Peters sent a 376-foot blast to right center. The pivotal moment arrived in the third inning, where the White Sox scored three runs, which ultimately served as the game's turning point. Benintendi started the rally with a single to right, scoring Vargas and reclaiming the lead for Chicago at 4-3. C. Montgomery then extended that advantage dramatically, crushing a 390-foot homer to right center that also brought Benintendi across the plate, pushing the White Sox lead to 6-3.
Cleveland, however, was far from out of it, mounting a comeback in the fifth inning spearheaded by Gabriel Arias. Arias, who was the game's top batting performer with two hits, including a home run and three RBI, launched a massive 446-foot homer to left center. This crucial three-run shot scored DeLauter and Manzardo, once again tying the game, this time at 6-6 and keeping the home crowd engaged.
The White Sox refused to surrender their lead for long. In the top of the sixth, Antonacci grounded out to first, but not before B. Montgomery crossed the plate, giving Chicago a narrow 7-6 advantage that they would not relinquish. White Sox pitcher Erick Fedde delivered a strong outing, earning the win as the top pitching performer with 5.1 innings pitched, four strikeouts, and allowing only two earned runs, helping his team secure the upset victory against their division rival.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Cleveland Guardians (-156, 58% implied) over the Chicago White Sox. Final: the Chicago White Sox won 7โ6, pulling off the upset.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 3rd inning, when the Chicago White Sox scored 3 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde W |
|
5.1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4.34 |
| Tanner Bibee |
|
4.0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4.06 |
| Sean Newcomb S |
|
1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2.58 |
| Cade Smith |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.90 |
| Erik Sabrowski |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.12 |
| Hunter Gaddis |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.00 |
| Chris Murphy |
|
0.2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5.03 |
| Shawn Armstrong |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.23 |
| Tim Herrin |
|
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.13 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Arias |
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Colson Montgomery |
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Chase DeLauter |
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tristan Peters |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Schneemann |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Teel |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Andrew Benintendi |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Chase Meidroth |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Miguel Vargas |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Randal Grichuk |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brayan Rocchio |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Bailey |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Kwan |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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