MLB Final Intelligence
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs โ Recap
July 4, 2026 ยท Wrigley Field ยท View Preview
Game Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals secured a road victory over the Chicago Cubs, shutting them out in a tightly contested affair. St. Louis scored early and added insurance runs late, silencing the favored Cubs offense throughout the game to pull off the upset.
The Cardinals offense initiated scoring in the very first inning when JJ Wetherholt launched a solo home run to left center, giving his club an early advantage. Two innings later, St. Louis extended its lead; Herrera's single to center field brought Church home, pushing the score to 2-0. The game remained a two-run affair until the eighth inning, when Burleson drove in Walker with a single to right, providing an important insurance run.
The Cardinals' pitching staff was the undisputed backbone of this upset. Kyle Leahy set the tone with five dominant innings, striking out six and allowing no earned runs. This masterful performance ensured Chicago's potent lineup could never gain traction, even as the Cardinals' offense provided modest run support. Wetherholt's early home run gave Leahy and the bullpen all the cushion they needed to protect the lead through nine innings.
Ultimately, St. Louis's combination of a shutdown pitching effort and opportunistic hitting proved too much for the Cubs. The Cardinals executed their game plan perfectly, holding their division rivals scoreless despite entering the contest as the underdog. St. Louis now holds an even 57-57 record, while Chicago falls to 64-50.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-163, 59% implied) over the St. Louis Cardinals. Final: the St. Louis Cardinals won 3โ0, pulling off the upset.
Player of the Game
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy W |
|
5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3.86 |
| Shota Imanaga L |
|
4.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4.28 |
| Caleb Thielbar |
|
1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.01 |
| Trent Thornton |
|
1.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.73 |
| Tyler Ferguson |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.87 |
| George Soriano |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.29 |
| JoJo Romero |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.69 |
| Riley O'Brien S |
|
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.72 |
| Ryne Stanek |
|
1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.81 |
| Ryan Rolison |
|
0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.93 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt |
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Alec Burleson |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Conforto |
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Ivan Herrera |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ian Happ |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nico Hoerner |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jordan Walker |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jose Fermin |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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