MLB Slate Recap

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Every pregame prediction measured against the final result. Real calls, transparent grading.

Games16On the slate

Predictions16Graded

Hits11Correct calls

Misses5Incorrect calls

Accuracy69%Hit rate

Prediction ledger

Game Results

Game	SportsFBI Prediction	Result	Confidence	Actual
WSHWashington Nationals 4–2Final DETDetroit Tigers	DETWin probability 69%	Miss	69%	WSHWSH 4 · DET 2
TORToronto Blue Jays 2–4Final BALBaltimore Orioles	BALWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	BALTOR 2 · BAL 4
MINMinnesota Twins 4–2Final SFSan Francisco Giants	MINWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	MINMIN 4 · SF 2
TORToronto Blue Jays 2–4Final BALBaltimore Orioles	BALWin probability 66%	Hit	66%	BALTOR 2 · BAL 4
MILMilwaukee Brewers 4–1Final PHIPhiladelphia Phillies	MILWin probability 69%	Hit	69%	MILMIL 4 · PHI 1
STLSt. Louis Cardinals 5–1Final PITPittsburgh Pirates	PITWin probability 66%	Miss	66%	STLSTL 5 · PIT 1
CLECleveland Guardians 0–1Final BOSBoston Red Sox	BOSWin probability 50%	Hit	50%	BOSCLE 0 · BOS 1
TBTampa Bay Rays 2–9Final NYYNew York Yankees	NYYWin probability 56%	Hit	56%	NYYTB 2 · NYY 9
CINCincinnati Reds 2–3Final ATLAtlanta Braves	ATLWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	ATLCIN 2 · ATL 3
CHWChicago White Sox 4–5Final KCKansas City Royals	KCWin probability 55%	Hit	55%	KC UpsetCHW 4 · KC 5
MIAMiami Marlins 3–2Final CHCChicago Cubs	CHCWin probability 69%	Miss	69%	MIAMIA 3 · CHC 2
NYMNew York Mets 7–2Final $Texas Rangers logo$ TEXTexas Rangers	NYMWin probability 68%	Hit	68%	NYM UpsetNYM 7 · TEX 2
ARIArizona Diamondbacks 5–3Final COLColorado Rockies	ARIWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	ARIARI 5 · COL 3
LAALos Angeles Angels 3–7Final OAKOakland Athletics	LAAWin probability 70%	Miss	70%	OAKLAA 3 · OAK 7
HOUHouston Astros 5–6Final SEASeattle Mariners	SEAWin probability 72%	Hit	72%	SEAHOU 5 · SEA 6
SDSan Diego Padres 5–1Final LADLos Angeles Dodgers	LADWin probability 66%	Miss	66%	SDSD 5 · LAD 1

✓ Hit× Miss— Ungraded: no frozen pregame pick— Pending