Denver Nuggets 100, Houston Rockets 110 — Recap

November 9, 2026 · Recap published November 9, 2026 · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Houston Rockets secured a 110-100 victory over the Denver Nuggets, validating SportsFBI's pregame probabilistic lean of 72% for Houston. The Rockets took control early by outscoring the Nuggets 32-24 in the first quarter and extended their advantage by winning the second period 22-16 to build a comfortable halftime cushion. Kevin Durant led Houston with 23 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Alperen Sengun added 20 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 assists, and Jabari Smith Jr. contributed 14 points and 7 rebounds.

Denver attempted to claw back after intermission, taking the third quarter 28-23 and matching Houston nearly point-for-point in a 33-32 final frame. Jamal Murray paced the Nuggets with a game-high 38 points, shooting 14 of 23 from the field including five three-pointers, alongside two rebounds and two assists. Nikola Jokic supported the effort with a dominant 25 points, 16 rebounds, and 8 assists, shooting 11 of 21 overall.

Despite Denver's offensive push in the second half, Houston's early wire-to-wire scoring edge proved decisive. Sengun and Durant orchestrated the offense efficiently with matching stat lines of 12 rebounds and 8 assists, keeping the Rockets ahead through the final buzzer.

#Rockets #Nuggets #NBA

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (72% confidence). It gave a 17% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 10 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · HOU -4.5 HOU covered Won by 10

Total · 223.5 Under 210 combined

Moneyline DEN +154 · HOU -184 HOU favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (HOU) -4.5-4.5 No move

Total 222.5223.5 +1

Moneyline (HOU) -174-184 -10

Standouts

Top Scorer · DEN

Jamal Murray

38 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST, 5 3PM · 14-23 FG

Scoring · DEN

Nikola Jokic

25 PTS, 16 REB, 8 AST, 1 3PM · 11-21 FG

Scoring · HOU

Kevin Durant

23 PTS, 12 REB, 8 AST, 1 3PM · 6-15 FG

Season highs

Nikola Jokic · Season-high 16 reboundsKevin Durant · Season-high 12 reboundsKevin Durant · Season-high 8 assists

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

DEN 2 largest lead Q1 11:43 (DEN 2, HOU 0) · 10-0 run, Q3 7:34–Q3 5:37

HOU 19 largest lead Q2 8:17 (DEN 24, HOU 43) · 14-0 run, Q1 0:03–Q2 8:17

Swings 3 lead changes Tied 2 times

Ahead for good: Tari Eason makes two point shot (Marcus Smart assists) (Q3 7:17, DEN 60, HOU 62).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
DEN	24	16	28	32		100
HOU	32	22	23	33		110

🧮 How They Scored

DENHOU

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

49.4%Effective FG%52.7%

9.6%Turnover %9.2%

16.3%Offensive rebound %31.9%

0.301Free-throw rate0.187

Box Score

Denver Nuggets

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jamal Murray G	39	38	2	2	1	2	1	14-23	5-8	5-5	+1
Nikola Jokic C	39	25	16	8	1	2	3	11-21	1-5	2-2	-2
Christian Braun G	32	4	5	3	3	0	1	2-7	0-4	0-2	-1
Cameron Johnson F	31	8	2	1	2	0	2	2-6	2-5	2-3	-2
Aaron Gordon F	30	3	5	2	0	0	3	1-6	0-2	1-2	+6
DeMar DeRozan G	19	7	4	2	0	0	0	2-8	0-1	3-3	-16
Spencer Jones F	14	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-3	0-2	0-0	-19
Trevon Brazile F	14	5	2	0	0	0	0	2-3	0-1	1-2	-3
Marvin Bagley III F	12	6	3	0	0	1	0	2-2	0-0	2-4	-7
Tyus Jones G	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-1	2-2	-11
Bryce Hopkins F	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	0
DaRon Holmes II F	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	+2
Alpha Diallo G	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	+2

Houston Rockets

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jabari Smith Jr. F	38	14	7	3	0	0	0	6-13	2-8	0-0	+10
Kevin Durant F	36	23	12	8	0	1	6	6-15	1-3	10-10	+3
Alperen Sengun F-C	35	20	12	8	1	1	2	9-17	1-3	1-3	-3
Amen Thompson G-F	35	8	9	3	1	0	1	3-8	0-0	2-2	+1
Fred VanVleet G	30	12	1	2	0	0	1	4-9	3-6	1-2	+1
Tari Eason F	19	12	5	2	2	1	0	5-11	2-6	0-0	+18
Marcus Smart G	17	5	2	2	1	0	0	2-5	1-3	0-0	+6
Reed Sheppard G	17	8	0	0	0	0	0	3-8	2-7	0-0	+11
Bogdan Bogdanovic G	12	8	3	1	0	0	0	3-5	2-2	0-0	+7
Isaiah Crawford F	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-2
Bruce Thornton G	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-2